Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 10

Published 4:48 pm Sunday, February 9, 2025

Monday’s contest between the Alcorn State Braves (6-17, 6-4 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-20, 1-9 SWAC) at Davey L. Whitney Complex should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 77-60 and heavily favors Alcorn State to secure the victory. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 10.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 19.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 125.5 over/under.

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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Lorman, Mississippi
  • Venue: Davey L. Whitney Complex
  • Line: Alcorn State -19.5
  • Point total: 125.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alcorn State -4000, Mississippi Valley State +1400

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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alcorn State 77, Mississippi Valley State 60

Spread & Total Prediction for Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

  • Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+19.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (125.5)

Alcorn State’s record against the spread this season is 14-8-0, while Mississippi Valley State’s is 8-13-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Braves are 9-13-0 and the Delta Devils are 10-11-0. The two teams average 116.8 points per game combined, 8.7 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alcorn State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over the last 10 contests. Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Alcorn State Performance Insights

  • The Braves average 63.1 points per game (359th in college basketball) while allowing 74.4 per outing (259th in college basketball). They have a -261 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 11.3 points per game.
  • The 31.3 rebounds per game Alcorn State averages rank 234th in the country. Its opponents grab 32.1 per outing.
  • Alcorn State makes 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball), 3.0 fewer than its opponents (9.1). It is shooting 33.0% from beyond the arc (241st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.2%.
  • The Braves average 81.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (361st in college basketball), and allow 96.7 points per 100 possessions (291st in college basketball).
  • Alcorn State has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 13.6 per game (334th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.3 (206th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

  • The Delta Devils have been outscored by 28.7 points per game (posting 53.7 points per game, 364th in college basketball, while conceding 82.4 per outing, 356th in college basketball) and have a -660 scoring differential.
  • Mississippi Valley State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 8.8 boards. It collects 24.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.6.
  • Mississippi Valley State connects on 4.0 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball) at a 26.7% rate (363rd in college basketball), compared to the 9.2 per outing its opponents make, shooting 37.5% from deep.
  • Mississippi Valley State has committed 5.0 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 15.3 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 10.3 (289th in college basketball).

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